Evaluation of Alternative Base Periods for a National Counter Cyclical Payment Program for Rice, Upland Cotton, Corn, Wheat, Soybeans and Sorghum

Abstract

A risk analysis of a national counter cyclical payment (CCP) program for six crops was completed for one year. National planted acre yield risk over the 1986-2000 period was used with FAPRI’s stochastic projection of crop prices for 2001 in the analysis. Four alternative base periods for triggering a CCP were evaluated. Three Added AMTA scenarios and a Base scenario of no additional market loss or CCP were also run for each of the crops.Agricultural and Food Policy,