DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS OF POPULATION CHANGE AND ITS DETERMINANTS IN BEIJING-TIANJIN-HEBEI METROPOLITAN REGION

Abstract

This paper provides two scenarios of population change and its spatial distribution at the county level in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan Region: three residential patterns and three population growth groups. The findings show that population change in this region mainly agglomerated to the urban districts and areas of fast population growth in the period of 1990-2000. Regression results also provide details on the contribution of a number of determinants to the population change in the divisions of each scenario. This research concludes by arguing the necessity of future population studies in terms of different regional or local conditions.Decomposition; Population change; Determinants; Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei