The Trading Performance of Dynamic Hedging Models: Time Varying Covariance and Volatility Transmission Effects

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the value of incorporating implied volatility from related option markets in dynamic hedging. We comprehensively model the volatility of all four S&P 500 cash, futures, index option and futures option markets simultaneously. Synchronous half-hourly observations are sampled from transaction data. Special classes of extended simultaneous volatility systems (ESVL) are estimated and used to generate out-of-sample hedge ratios. In a hypothetical dynamic hedging scheme, ESVLbased hedge ratios, which incorporate incremental information in the implied volatilities of the two S&P 500 option markets, generate profits from interim rebalancing of the futures hedging position that are incremental over competing hedge ratios. In addition, ESVL-based hedge ratios are the only hedge ratios that manage to generate sufficient profit during the hedging period to cover losses incurred by the physical portfolio .volatility transmission, dynamic hedging, optimal hedge ratio, S&P 500