The discovery circumstances of Earth-approaching asteroids

Abstract

The discovery circumstances are analyzed for all Earth-approaching asteroids detected in the last twenty-four years. In particular, topocentric angular velocities, opposition distance, geocentric and heliocentric distances, phase angle, and lunar phase at discover were calculated in an effort to separate any selection effects between chance and purposeful (i.e., as the result of a systematic search) discoveries. Another motivation was the possibility of discerning useful clues how to search more efficiently for such objects. There are 60 minor planets in the sample. The principal result is that the discovery of Earth-approaching asteroids is dominated by serendipity. Therefore, searching for them at the current relatively bright limits at less than a very high rate seems pointless