决策者面临的选择问题历来是人们比较关注的话题,然而理性的决策分析行为是从期望值理论的产生才开始的。期望值理论可以说是最简单的也是日常生活中最被人们经常使用的决策理论,因为它不需要什么太专业的知识储备,你只需要拥有简单的数学期望知识就可以了。但是,后来出现的一些决策悖论如“圣彼得堡悖论”使人们开始迷惑为什么期望值理论不管用了?为了解释这些悖论,数学家、经济学家丹尼尔•伯努利提出了“效用”的概念,开辟了用决策者的效用来描述决策者的决策行为的先河。后来VonNeumann&Morgenstern等人继承丹尼尔•伯努利对“圣彼得堡悖论”(St.Petersburgparadox...It is a attractive topic in history that how people make their decision-making. Rational behavior of decision analysis began from expectation value theory. Expectation value theory is the most simple and useful basis about their decision behavior in daily life, because you don't need very professional knowledge but some Mathematical Expectation knowledge. But, some decision-making contrary, such a...学位:理学硕士院系专业:数学科学学院数学与应用数学系_应用数学学号:1912008115276