The Very Real Danger of Environmental Damage to the Region of Trieste as Well as the Short and Sensitive Slovene Coast Given Expected Traffic Increase in the Gulf of Trieste

Abstract

This paper not only presents the results of studies assessing the influence of expected intensive increase of traffic on collision probability in the Gulf of Trieste, but real incidents as well as a model that suggests with accuracy the likely results of oil spillage in the gulf. A stochastic, simulation model (working in fast time) was used in the research. Ship traffic was modeled on the basis of real data obtained from AIS, as are the reports of actual incidents.JRC.G.4-Maritime affair