Patterns of Industrial Change in the Federal Republic of Germany. Part I: Flows of Manufacturing Output and Energy Input

Abstract

The work on patterns of industrial change in the Federal Republic of Germany is one of a series of case studies that are underway as part of IIASA's research into economic structural change and growth. A summary of the first case study, which relates to the United States, was distributed in 1983 (Claire P. Doblin, "Patterns of Industrial Change in the USA Since 1970: A Preliminary Summary." Working Paper WP-83-103. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. November 1983). The FRG Case Study consists of two parts. Part I, which is reported here, deals with the major trends in structural change observed for the growth of capital stock and the flows of output and energy demand within the manufacturing sector of the FRG since 1950. This part was prepared by Claire Doblin. In Part II, Michael Kraus has undertaken an empirical analysis of the energy intensities of the manufacturing sector in the FRG over the same period, in which he attempts to separate the effects of structural change and technical progress in decreasing the demand for energy at both the sectoral and the industry level