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An Analysis of Indirect Mortality Estimation

Abstract

This paper investigates the robustness of the Brass child-survivorship indirect mortality estimation technique. It develops an analytical method for studying the error or bias caused in indirect mortality estimates by poor data, badly chosen model functions, and specific demographic assumptions that are often violated in practice. The resulting analytical expressions give insight into the rationale of indirect methods, the conditions under which they are robust, and the magnitude of errors that occur when specific assumptions are violated

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