Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb
Abstract
U radu se razmatra stupanj ostarjelosti stanovništva pograničnih područja Hrvatske te daje prostorna diferencijacija tog procesa do razine općine/upravnog grada (temeljeno na podacima popisa stanovništva 2011. godine). Korišten je poseban model bodovnog pokazatelja ostarjelosti. Tipizacija koja se temelji na bodovnoj vrijednosti ima sedam tipova (stupnjeva) ostarjelosti (od 1 – na pragu starenja do 7 – krajnje duboka starost). Potvrđena je hipoteza prema kojoj je pogranično područje izloženo jačoj depopulaciji nego Hrvatska u cjelini. Stupanj ostarjelosti stanovništva pograničnih krajeva gotovo je izjednačen s onim za ukupnu populaciju. Dakle, nije potvrđena hipoteza prema kojoj je demografsko starenje izrazitije u pograničnoj nego u ukupnoj populaciji. Najvišim stupnjevima ostarjelosti stanovništva (tipovi 5, 6 i 7) zahvaćene su mnoge općine i upravni gradovi duž čitave kopnene državne granice. Znači da nije u potpunosti potvrđena hipoteza prema kojoj su najviši stupnjevi ostarjelosti pretežito u onim pograničnim krajevima koji su bili izloženi izravnim ratnim stradanjima 1990-ih.The paper considered the degree of ageing in the populations of border regions in Croatia and offers a spatial differentiation of this process to the level of the municipalities / administrative cities (based on the data of the 2011 Census). A distinct model of point value indicators of ageing was employed. The typifi cation based on point values identifi ed seven types (degrees) of ageing (from 1 – on the threshold of old age, to 7 – extremely advanced old age). The hypothesis that border regions are exposed to greater depopulation than the national average was confi rmed. The degree of ageing among the populations of border regions was found to be virtually equivalent to that of the overall population. This, then, did not support the hypothesis that demographic ageing is more pronounced in border regions than in the overall population. Many of the municipalities and administrative towns along the entire state border on land have been impacted by the highest degrees of population ageing (types 5, 6 and 7). This means that the hypothesis that the highest degree of ageing would be predominantly found in those border regions exposed to direct war casualties in the 1990s was not entirely confirmed
