Scientific diversity, scientific uncertainty and risk mitigation policy and planning: scenario exercise literature review

Abstract

The Scientific Diversity, Scientific Uncertainty and Risk Mitigation Policy and Planning (RMPP) project aims to investigate the diversity and uncertainty of bushfire and flood science, and its contribution to risk mitigation policy and planning. Summary This research report outlines how scenario exercises may be used for understanding risk mitigation decision-making, as scenario exercises will inform a core component of the RMPP project. The report outlines what scenario exercise are, why they are used, and how they can used to achieve the aims of the RMPP project. The focus is on environmental scenarios: that is, scenarios about environmental challenges. Literature about scenarios for other purposes, such as business and strategy, are included where appropriate

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