The political crisis in Ukraine, particularly the bloodshed seen on 18–20 February and the subsequent
Russian intervention in Crimea, has sparked fears of another possible wave of immigrants
heading to the EU. However, the country was partially politically stabilised (at least in
its central and western parts), and this has made the scenario of a mass migration of people
from Ukraine rather unlikely. If there is no civil war in Ukraine, any further development of the
political situation in Ukraine may have only an indirect impact on the actual migration. Should
the political instability continue, the Ukrainian economy remain in recession while jobs are
available for Ukrainian immigrants in the EU, then an increase in the migration of Ukrainian citizens
to the EU, including Poland, would be possible. In the short term there may be two characteristic
groups of immigrants: (1) young people who will attempt to leave Ukraine for good
due to the lack of job opportunities; (2) circulating migrants, mainly from western Ukraine,
who will be looking for temporary jobs. Only if the economic downturn trend and political
turmoil in Ukraine continues for a longer time, will settlement migration increase