University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Water Resources Center
Abstract
A target land use pattern found using a dynamic programming model is shown to be a useful reference for comparing the success of floodplain management policies. At least in the test case, there is interdependence in the land use allocation for floodplain management--that is, a good solution includes some reduction of current land use in the floodplain and some provision of detention storage.
For the test case, current floodplain management policies are not sufficient; some of the existing floodplain use should be removed. Although specific land use patterns are in part sensitive to potential error in land value data and to inaccuracy in the routing model, the general conclusion that some existing use must be removed is stable within the range of likely error. Trend surface analysis is shown to be a potentially useful way of generating bid price data for use in land use allocation models. Sensitivity analysis of the dynamic programming model with respect to routing of hydrographs is conducted through simulation based on expected distributions of error.U.S. Geological SurveyU.S. Department of the InteriorOpe
