We investigate the impact of the matter and glue dynamics on baryon number
fluctuations and the kurtosis of baryon number distribution. This is done
within the framework of QCD-improved low energy effective models. In particular
we include the momentum scale dependence of the quark-meson scattering and the
non-trivial dispersions of both, quarks and mesons. On the gluonic side we take
into account the backreaction of the matter sector on the glue dynamics. It is
shown that the above fluctuations lead to a more rapid change of the baryon
number fluctuations as well as the kurtosis of with the chiral crossover.
We also study the signatures of quark confinement in low energy QCD. It is
shown that contrary to the common picture the effective thermal distribution in
the presence of confining glue backgrounds does not tend towards the colourless
baryonic one. Instead, the dominance of colourless hadronic states is obtained
in a subtle interplay of quark and glue contributions to the canonical
potential.Comment: 25 pages, 19 figure