Dropout has recently emerged as a powerful and simple method for training
neural networks preventing co-adaptation by stochastically omitting neurons.
Dropout is currently not grounded in explicit modelling assumptions which so
far has precluded its adoption in Bayesian modelling. Using Bayesian entropic
reasoning we show that dropout can be interpreted as optimal inference under
constraints. We demonstrate this on an analytically tractable regression model
providing a Bayesian interpretation of its mechanism for regularizing and
preventing co-adaptation as well as its connection to other Bayesian
techniques. We also discuss two general approximate techniques for applying
Bayesian dropout for general models, one based on an analytical approximation
and the other on stochastic variational techniques. These techniques are then
applied to a Baysian logistic regression problem and are shown to improve
performance as the model become more misspecified. Our framework roots dropout
as a theoretically justified and practical tool for statistical modelling
allowing Bayesians to tap into the benefits of dropout training.Comment: 21 pages, 3 figures. Manuscript prepared 2014 and awaiting submissio
