Armstrong, Kenneth A.

Steinbeis, Maximilian

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Five Questions on Brexit to KENNETH ARMSTRONG verfassungsblog.de /five-questions-on-brexit-to-kenneth-armstrong/Kenneth Armstrong , Maximilian Steinbeis Sa 25 Jun 20161. What were your thoughts when you first heard of the result of the referendum?It was not an unexpected result. Last week my prediction was 53:47. I wrote to someone early this week sayingthat in light of the pause of the campaign after the murder of Jo Cox MP it might be more like 51.8:48.2. And yet Iwas still shocked and became more so as it sank in.2. Could an exit of the UK result in changes to the constitutional setup of the European Union, for better orworse?My hope had been that Remain would be a platform not for the status quo but for real reform. The narrative fromTusk today was all about the unity of the EU27. It would be disappointing of that meant business as usual. Theremight be lots of dimensions to this but I still feel the relationship between the European Council and theEuropean Commission lies at the heart of the issue of political responsibility and where reform might be needed.3. What does the referendum teach us about the merits and limits of direct democracy?Referendums are a poor way of deciding issues that have policy linkages and whose effects are uncertain intemporal terms and have significant inter-generational consequences.4. Do you think the decision for Brexit could be  There might be a mood for a referendum to endorse the withdrawal deal and if rejected that would throw openthe Brexit decision itself. Cannot rule it out even though not looking likely at this point.5. Do you see a way to keep Scotland and Northern Ireland within the European Union? The new normal is not 27+1. There is no single UK position and that will be significant in terms of the negotiationprocess. Key claims made by the Leave campaign are likely to yield pushback from the devolved administrationsand with that a likely independence resurgence in Scotland. N Ireland is far less clear but obvious pretext forIrish nationalists to push for unification.Questions by Maximilian Steinbeis.LICENSED UNDER CC BY NC NDSUGGESTED CITATION  Armstrong, Kenneth; Steinbeis, Maximilian: Five Questions on Brexit to KENNETHARMSTRONG, VerfBlog, 2016/6/25, http://verfassungsblog.de/five-questions-on-brexit-to-kenneth-armstrong/.1/1

Five Questions on Brexit to Kenneth Armstrong

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Five Questions on Brexit to Kenneth Armstrong

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