A Draft Framework for Assigning Probabilities to Alternative Assumptions concerning the Contribution of Sardine Spawning Biomass on the South Coast to Recruitment on the West Coast

Abstract

A draft framework is put forward, by way of giving examples, to provide a quantitative basis for the combination of information from the hydrodynamics model and ts to stock-recruitment relationships to provide weightings for alternative hypotheses for the proportion of South Coast sardine spawning biomass which contributes to recruitment on the West Coast, for use in revising the pelagic OMP. The intent is that this draft be re ned prior to full deliberation, including the International Panel, at the November 28| December 2 workshop. Some suggestions are provided for further work desirably conducted before that event to facilitate discussions there