Chikungunya risk assessment for europe: recommendations for action

Abstract

Since March 2005, 255 000 cases of chikungunya fever are estimated to have occurred on the island of Réunion, a French overseas department in the Indian Ocean [1]. An huge increase in estimated cases occurred at the end of December 2005, culminating in an estimated peak incidence of more than 40 000 cases in week 5 of 2006 [2]. Since then, the estimated weekly incidence trend is downwards, although there have been an estimated 3000 new cases per week since week 13 of 2006. In total, 213 deaths have been linked to the disease [1]. In Mayotte, the nearby French territorial collectivity, 5834 cases have been notified [3]. Chikungunya cases have also been reported on other islands in the Indian Ocean, and imported cases have been confirmed in several European countrie