The anthropocene wager

Abstract

Paper presented on August 2, 2024, at La Sapienza University, Rome, as part of the XXV World Congress of Philosophy, Thematic Section 63: Philosophy of History.In the Anthropocene, our power to shape Earth`s destiny is unmatched. This power fully emerged in the mid-20th century, marked by the atomic bomb and our recognition of the expansive Technosphere. The Anthropocene`s fate now hinges on our choices, with two prevailing beliefs: some view it as a terminal stage, a path to geocivilizational catastrophe, while others see it as a liminal phase, a transition toward a brighter post-Anthropocene future. These beliefs profoundly influence our actions and the Anthropocene's ultimate direction. Our key challenge is the deep uncertainty surrounding the Anthropocene`s true nature, much like the age-old question of God`s existence. Inspired by Blaise Pascal`s thought experiment, I introduce the “Anthropocene Wager,” urging action as if it`s a liminal phase, even for those leaning towards terminal beliefs. It encourages contemplation of the consequences of our choices, focusing on proactive measures, sustainability, and adaptation. In this framework, I rank scenarios from best to worst. Choosing proactive ecoclimatic action consistently emerges as the better choice, enhancing sustainability and readiness for challenges. Inaction, conversely, risks speeding up catastrophic outcomes. It encourages embracing a liminal Anthropocene and acting with determination, offering a rational, inspiring approach to address environmental uncertainties with resilience and hope

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