Goal-relevant information maintained in working memory is remarkably robust and resistant to distractions. However, our nervous system is endowed with exceptional flexibility; therefore such information can be updated almost effortlessly. A scenario – not uncommon in our daily life – is that selective maintaining and updating information can be achieved concurrently. This is an intriguing example of how our brain balances stability and flexibility, when organising its knowledge. A possibility – one may draw upon to understand this capacity – is that working memory is represented as beliefs, or its probability densities, which are updated in a context-sensitive manner. This means one could treat working memory in the same way as perception – i.e., memories are based on inferring the cause of sensations, except that the time scale ranges from an instant to prolonged anticipation. In this setting, working memory is susceptible to prior information encoded in the brain’s model of its world. This thesis aimed to establish an interpretation of working memory processing that rests on the (generalised) predictive coding framework, or hierarchical inference in the brain. Specifically, the main question it asked was how anticipation modulates working memory updating (or maintenance). A novel working memory updating task was designed in this regard. Blood-oxygen-level dependent (BOLD) imaging, machine learning, and dynamic causal modelling (DCM) were applied to identify the neural correlates of anticipation and the violation of anticipation, as well as the causal structure generating these neural correlates. Anticipation induced neural activity in the dopaminergic midbrain and the striatum. Whereas, the fronto-parietal and cingulo-operculum network were implicated when an anticipated update was omitted, and the midbrain, occipital cortices, and cerebellum when an update was unexpected. DCM revealed that anticipation is a modulation of backward connections, whilst the associated surprise is mediated by forward and local recurrent modulations. Two mutually antagonistic pathways were differentially modulated under anticipatory flexibility and stability, respectively. The overall results indicate that working memory may as well follow the cortical message-passing scheme that enables hierarchical inference
