We study the statistics of backward clusters in a gas of hard spheres at low
density. A backward cluster is defined as the group of particles involved
directly or indirectly in the backwards-in-time dynamics of a given tagged
sphere. We derive upper and lower bounds on the average size of clusters by
using the theory of the homogeneous Boltzmann equation combined with suitable
hierarchical expansions. These representations are known in the easier context
of Maxwellian molecules (Wild sums). We test our results with a numerical
experiment based on molecular dynamics simulations