We show that there are simplex pivoting rules for which it is PSPACE-complete
to tell if a particular basis will appear on the algorithm's path. Such rules
cannot be the basis of a strongly polynomial algorithm, unless P = PSPACE. We
conjecture that the same can be shown for most known variants of the simplex
method. However, we also point out that Dantzig's shadow vertex algorithm has a
polynomial path problem. Finally, we discuss in the same context randomized
pivoting rules.Comment: To appear in IPCO 201