This work discusses a two-step procedure, based on formal abstractions, to
generate a finite-space stochastic dynamical model as an aggregation of the
continuous temperature dynamics of a homogeneous population of Thermostatically
Controlled Loads (TCL). The temperature of a single TCL is described by a
stochastic difference equation and the TCL status (ON, OFF) by a deterministic
switching mechanism. The procedure is formal as it allows the exact
quantification of the error introduced by the abstraction -- as such it builds
and improves on a known, earlier approximation technique in the literature.
Further, the contribution discusses the extension to the case of a
heterogeneous population of TCL by means of two approaches resulting in the
notion of approximate abstractions. It moreover investigates the problem of
global (population-level) regulation and load balancing for the case of TCL
that are dependent on a control input. The procedure is tested on a case study
and benchmarked against the mentioned alternative approach in the literature.Comment: 40 pages, 21 figures; the paper generalizes the result of conference
publication: S. Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani and A. Abate, "Aggregation of
Thermostatically Controlled Loads by Formal Abstractions," Proceedings of the
European Control Conference 2013, pp. 4232-4237. version 2: added references
for section