Andersen, Per Dannemand

Cagnin, Cristiano

Dahl Andersen, Allan

Park, Byeongwon

For long it has been argued that foresight has a potentially important role in relation to policy making on national innovation systems (Martin &amp; Johnston, 1999). The field of foresight has recently undergone a two-tracked transformation. Firstly, foresight is in a process of developing theoretical foundations as the field moves from being practice-oriented towards increasingly also becoming a scientific discipline. Secondly, foresight is in a process of implementing a systemic and evolutionary understanding of innovation into its conceptual and applied methodology. Andersen and Andersen (2014) have suggested the concept of ‘innovation system foresight’ (ISF) as a tentative framework that can bring forward this two-tracked transformation. Here we argue that this transformation can be aided by an increased focus on sector level foresight because it facilitates taking into account necessary contextual factors and the broad participation of stakeholders essential to ISF. Both ISF in general and sector level foresight in particular are conceptually underdeveloped and empirically under-researched (see section 2). Advancing our knowledge in this area is important for better understanding the issues involved in strategic innovation system (IS) transformation. This paper seeks to address the latter research gaps by exploring sector foresight in Brazil and South Korea (henceforth Korea). Though very different, both countries face challenges of IS transformation. In both countries sector level foresight initiatives have been launched to complement and/or to address the lacking impact of national and technology oriented foresights. We analyze these sector foresights by looking at the presence of core features of ISF in foresight design and on how these influence the foresight process. The focus of the paper is thus on conceptualization and design of foresight. The key propositions of this paper are: (1) adhering to the principles of ISF will improve impact of foresight for innovation; (2) the principles of ISF are particularly relevant for sector level foresight. The paper is theoretically motivated and it is empirically explorative. Though generalization potential is limited, the case studies hold lessons for our theoretical suggestions that in turn serve for pointing towards other research challenges. The paper contributes to foresight research on two points. First, it further explores the notion of ISF and advances fruitful integration between the two academic fields of Innovation Studies and Foresight. Second, it highlights the need for, and explores the practice of, foresight at the sector level. The latter is a gain for practitioners and policy makers – especially those interested in innovation policy in emerging economies as Brazil and Korea. Chapter two will outline the basic principles of ISF that will be translated into indicators for our measuring of ISF. Also, it will illustrate why the sector-level approach is necessary. Chapter three presents sector foresight cases from Brazil and Korea. Chapter four is the conclusion

Online Research Database In Technology

Sectoral Innovation System Foresight in Brazil and Korea:Competences for innovation system transformation

http://orbit.dtu.dk/ws/files/100328118/Sectorial_innovation_system_foresight_in_Brazil_and_Korea_FINAL.pdf

Sectoral Innovation System Foresight in Brazil and Korea:Competences for innovation system transformation

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