We report on average subsurface properties of pre-emerging active regions as
compared to areas where no active region emergence was detected. Helioseismic
holography is applied to samples of the two populations (pre-emergence and
without emergence), each sample having over 100 members, which were selected to
minimize systematic bias, as described in Leka et al. We find that there are
statistically significant signatures (i.e., difference in the means of more
than a few standard errors) in the average subsurface flows and the apparent
wave speed that precede the formation of an active region. The measurements
here rule out spatially extended flows of more than about 15 m/s in the top 20
Mm below the photosphere over the course of the day preceding the start of
visible emergence. These measurements place strong constraints on models of
active region formation.Comment: 15 pages, 10 figures, ApJ (published
