We study three methods that prove the positivity of a natural numerical
invariant associated to 1−parameter families of polarized varieties. All
these methods involve different stability conditions. In dimension 2 we prove
that there is a natural connection between them, related to a yet another
stability condition, the linear stability. Finally we make some speculations
and prove new results in higher dimension.Comment: Final version, to appear in the Springer volume dedicated to Klaus
Hulek on the occasion of his 60-th birthda