We explore the collisional decay of disk mass and infrared emission in debris
disks. With models, we show that the rate of the decay varies throughout the
evolution of the disks, increasing its rate up to a certain point, which is
followed by a leveling off to a slower value. The total disk mass falls off ~
t^-0.35 at its fastest point (where t is time) for our reference model, while
the dust mass and its proxy -- the infrared excess emission -- fades
significantly faster (~ t^-0.8). These later level off to a decay rate of
M_tot(t) ~ t^-0.08 and M_dust(t) or L_ir(t) ~ t^-0.6. This is slower than the ~
t^-1 decay given for all three system parameters by traditional analytic
models.
We also compile an extensive catalog of Spitzer and Herschel 24, 70, and 100
micron observations. Assuming a log-normal distribution of initial disk masses,
we generate model population decay curves for the fraction of debris disk
harboring stars observed at 24 micron and also model the distribution of
measured excesses at the far-IR wavelengths (70-100 micron) at certain age
regimes. We show general agreement at 24 micron between the decay of our
numerical collisional population synthesis model and observations up to a Gyr.
We associate offsets above a Gyr to stochastic events in a few select systems.
We cannot fit the decay in the far infrared convincingly with grain strength
properties appropriate for silicates, but those of water ice give fits more
consistent with the observations.Comment: 32 pages, 16 figures, emulateapj format, Accepted for publication in
Ap