At the Small Pelagic Scientific Working Group Meeting on 29th February 2012, some queried whether the below average survey observations of anchovy during 2011 warranted a change to the TAC constraints used in OMP-08. This was considered under the general protocol for OMPs for South African fisheries which cater for unanticipated events and can lead to the initiation of a review of an OMP ahead of the schedule (see Appendix 2 of Rademeyer et al. 2008). In this document, a simple check is performed to evaluate whether the 2011 survey estimates of anchovy abundance were outside the major part of the range (typically to 90% or 95% PI would be the norm) simulated during the testing of OMP-08
