A key component of the Robben Island penguin population model (Robinson and Butterworth 2011a,b) is the relationship between annual penguin adult survival and the abundance of small pelagic fish. This is of primary importance as it enables one to produce penguin population projections based on different future small pelagic abundance levels. The sardine and anchovy OMPs may then be designed to take into account the risk to penguins of reaching a low pelagic abundance level
