Recently, the deteriorated phenomenon of the commercial function is progressing in the central district of the local city. Then in this study, the potential of the commercial development in the future is estimated. The procedure of this study is the following. Firstly, the commercial condi tion in this study area is investigated. Secondly, some models to estimate the commercial potential are made up using a sum of sale and an area of commercial floor as the objective variables and the numbers of offices and employees as the explanatory variables. In result, twelve models are obtained for Multiple Rergression Analysis and tested. Finally, using these models, Effective Analysis by new development is practiced. Consequently, it is expected that the new development brings increase of the commercial potential.departmental bulletin pape
