Scaling Up Bayesian Neural Networks with Neural Networks

Abstract

Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) offers a more principled, robust, and interpretable framework for analyzing high-dimensional data. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as data insatiability, ad-hoc nature, and susceptibility to overfitting. However, their implementation typically relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods that are characterized by their computational intensity and inefficiency in a high-dimensional space. To address this issue, we propose a novel Calibration-Emulation-Sampling (CES) strategy to significantly enhance the computational efficiency of BNN. In this CES framework, during the initial calibration stage, we collect a small set of samples from the parameter space. These samples serve as training data for the emulator. Here, we employ a Deep Neural Network (DNN) emulator to approximate the forward mapping, i.e., the process that input data go through various layers to generate predictions. The trained emulator is then used for sampling from the posterior distribution at substantially higher speed compared to the original BNN. Using simulated and real data, we demonstrate that our proposed method improves computational efficiency of BNN, while maintaining similar performance in terms of prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.Comment: 13 page