A spatial analysis of COVID-19 reported cases in the Gauteng province, South Africa: Identifying wards to be targeted early in future infectious diseases outbreak

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions and contributed to the loss of livelihoods and income. The pandemic also provided public health and health systems policy shifts towards better promotion and protection in responding to such disasters and emergencies. Due to differing effects of socio-economic infectious disease vulnerabilities and pre-pandemic levels of preparedness for health emergencies, health system strengthening requires targeted and ununiform implementation. We employ spatial statistical methods on the COVID-19 confirmed cases in identifying wards that could be targeted for strengthening health security in the Gauteng Province, South Africa. In this way, the identified high-risk wards would be more effective and prepared to respond to future pandemics and emergencies.Comment: 21 pages, 10 figures and 9 table