CASH FLOW MANAGEMENT IN THE AGE OF ECONOMIC CRISIS AND INFLATION

Abstract

Svi pokazatelji upućuju na usporavanje globalnog gospodarstva, koje ulazi u ono što bi moglo postati dugotrajno razdoblje slabog rasta i povišene inflacije. Prognoze ekonomista ukazuju na smanjenje globalne inflacije sljedeće godine, ali će vjerojatno ostati iznad ciljane inflacije u mnogim gospodarstvima. U ovom radu istraživali smo upravljanje novčanim tokovima u uvjetima izražene energetske krize, a prisutne su i gospodarske krize i inflacija. U ovim vrlo složenim uvjetima poslovanja detektirali smo probleme i izazove s kojima se susreću donositelji odluka o priljevima i odljevima novca, kako u realnom tako iu javnom sektoru u Bosni i Hercegovini. Rad se sastoji od četiri poglavlja, pri čemu se u prvom poglavlju prikazuje energetska kriza u različitim oblicima, te definiraju razmjeri globalne krize nestašice hrane, prvenstveno žitarica, kao posljedice rata u Ukrajini i embarga na izvoz u Rusiju. U drugom poglavlju definirani su izazovi s kojima se suočava financijsko upravljanje realnim sektorom, a aktualni problemi vezani su uz upravljanje novčanim tokovima u našim tvrtkama. U trećem poglavlju govori se o dva izazova koji se pojavljuju pred financijskim menadžmentom, a to su kreditno zaduživanje i investiranje, odnosno ušteda privremeno slobodnih sredstava u našim poduzećima u uvjetima energetske i gospodarske krize, te izraženog rasta inflacije. U četvrtom poglavlju istraženi su priljevi i odljevi novca u javnom sektoru kroz naplatu izravnih i neizravnih poreza te trošenje proračunskih sredstava na razini države, na razini entiteta i Brčko Distrikta BiH, te trošenje, odnosno odljev javnog novca značajno utječe na ovogodišnje opće izbore. u Bosni i HercegoviniAll indicators point to a slowdown in the global economy, which is entering what could become a prolonged period of weak growth and elevated inflation. Economists\u27 forecasts point to global inflation easing next year, but it is likely to remain above target inflation in many economies. In this paper, we investigated the management of cash flows in the conditions of a pronounced energy crisis, and the increasingly present economic crisis and inflation. In these very complex business conditions, we detected problems and challenges faced by decision-makers regarding inflows and outflows of money, both in the real and in the public sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The paper consists of four chapters, where the first chapter shows the energy crisis in its various forms, and the defined scale of the global food shortage crisis, primarily grains, as a result of the war in Ukraine and the embargo on exports to Russia. The second chapter defines the challenges faced by the financial management of the real sector, as well as current problems related to cash flow management in our companies. In the third chapter, two challenges that appear before financial management are discussed, namely credit borrowing and investment, i.e. saving temporarily free funds in our companies in conditions of energy and economic crisis, and pronounced growth of inflation. In the fourth chapter, the inflows and outflows of money in the public sector through the collection of direct and indirect taxes and the spending of budget funds at the state level, entity level and Brčko District of Bosnia and Herzegovina were investigated, and the spending or outflow of public money is significantly affected by this year\u27s general elections in Bosnia. and Herzegovina

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