One Model Fits All: Cross-Region Taxi-Demand Forecasting

Abstract

The growing demand for ride-hailing services has led to an increasing need for accurate taxi demand prediction. Existing systems are limited to specific regions, lacking generalizability to unseen areas. This paper presents a novel taxi demand forecasting system that leverages a graph neural network to capture spatial dependencies and patterns in urban environments. Additionally, the proposed system employs a region-neutral approach, enabling it to train a model that can be applied to any region, including unseen regions. To achieve this, the framework incorporates the power of Variational Autoencoder to disentangle the input features into region-specific and region-neutral components. The region-neutral features facilitate cross-region taxi demand predictions, allowing the model to generalize well across different urban areas. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed system in accurately forecasting taxi demand, even in previously unobserved regions, thus showcasing its potential for optimizing taxi services and improving transportation efficiency on a broader scale.Comment: Accepted to The 31st ACM International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems(SIGSPATIAL '23) as a short paper in the Research, Systems and Industrial Experience Papers trac