MithraDetective: A System for Cherry-picked Trendlines Detection.

Abstract

Given a data set, misleading conclusions can be drawn from it by cherry-picking selected samples. One important class of conclusions is a trend derived from a data set of values over time. Our goal is to evaluate whether the 'trends' described by the extracted samples are representative of the true situation represented in the data. We demonstrate MithraDetective, a system to compute a support score to indicate how cherry-picked a statement is; that is, whether the reported trend is well-supported by the data. The system can also be used to discover more supported alternatives. MithraDetective provides an interactive visual interface for both tasks

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