Review of the main approaches to the use of models with time-varying parameters in the macroeconomic modeling

Abstract

Evaluation of models with time-varying parameters is widely used in macroeconomic research carried out over the past 20 years. Following the pioneering work in this area, various authors have begun to apply such models to analyze the time-varying behavior of such macroeconomic parameters such as volatility, long-term economic growth, trend inflation, persistence of inflation and oil prices, as well as the dependence of the main macroeconomic variables on oil prices oil. This review provides a methodological basis for the use of time-varying models. time parameters as one of the important macroeconomic modeling tools and forecasting, which allows you to take into account temporal changes in the relationships between different variables