Analyzing Polarization on Social Media: A Case Study of the 2022 Brazil Presidential Election

Abstract

Project Work presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data ScienceSocial Media has become a big part of our society and has now a significant role in the relationships between inter and intra-communities. Twitter is now an important communication platform for political campaigns: in the last years, politicians, campaigners, and general users have been extensively using Twitter to promote campaigns and engage in political discussions. Some studies argue that social media can create filter bubbles by limiting the flow of online information, and therefore creating communities where exposure to political diversity is rare. This selective exposure can build echo chambers where individuals only interact with those who have the same opinions as they have and by doing that, they build a polarized community. Identifying, understanding, and mitigating polarization is very important for the democratic process. People should be exposed to different ideas and opinions so they can choose their representatives without being influenced by some portion of the information. This project analyzed political polarization on social media using data from Twitter. Brazil’s presidential election in 2022 was used as a case study. Tweets from the two main candidates were extracted. A Topic Modeling algorithm was used to cluster tweets in topics. An Engagement Graph was built based on the interactions between users, candidates, and topics and was used to compute the Topic Centrality measures. A pre-trained Sentiment Analysis model was used to measure the sentiment polarity of each tweet. In the end, the project analyzed the extracted features and identified which topics were more central to each candidate and how users interact with them. The major conclusion of this work is that polarization in Brazil is more affective than ideological since the user’s sentiments towards topics are not as relevant as the sentiments towards the candidates

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