Enhancing US-Japan-Taiwan Cooperation/Deterrence Efforts for Potential Taiwan Contingencies

Abstract

NPS NRP Executive SummaryAs the balance of military power across the Taiwan Strait increasingly favors China, and with China's increased coercive aircraft incursions across the mid-line of the Taiwan Strait, many military leaders and policy analysts have grown more concerned about a potential Chinese attack against Taiwan in the near-term. The U.S.-Japan alliance remains one of the strongest pillars for peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific, but ambiguities in the policies of both countries regarding responses in Taiwan contingencies and insufficient coordination between the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan may undermine deterrence and encourage beliefs in Beijing that military operations may succeed. The purpose of this project is to identify areas of potential deeper cooperation and coordination between the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan in Taiwan contingencies, to provide recommendations on how the U.S. military and U.S. Navy can enhance deterrence towards China and improve integration in case of conflict. Drawing on deep expertise in Asia and U.S. Naval strategy and operations in the Indo-Pacific, this project will examine these relations to provide recommendations on the best areas to deepen coordination and enhance deterrence of China.N3/N5 - Plans & StrategyThis research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrpChief of Naval Operations (CNO)Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.

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