A Flexible Framework for Incorporating Patient Preferences Into Q-Learning

Abstract

In real-world healthcare problems, there are often multiple competing outcomes of interest, such as treatment efficacy and side effect severity. However, statistical methods for estimating dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) usually assume a single outcome of interest, and the few methods that deal with composite outcomes suffer from important limitations. This includes restrictions to a single time point and two outcomes, the inability to incorporate self-reported patient preferences and limited theoretical guarantees. To this end, we propose a new method to address these limitations, which we dub Latent Utility Q-Learning (LUQ-Learning). LUQ-Learning uses a latent model approach to naturally extend Q-learning to the composite outcome setting and adopt the ideal trade-off between outcomes to each patient. Unlike previous approaches, our framework allows for an arbitrary number of time points and outcomes, incorporates stated preferences and achieves strong asymptotic performance with realistic assumptions on the data. We conduct simulation experiments based on an ongoing trial for low back pain as well as a well-known completed trial for schizophrenia. In all experiments, our method achieves highly competitive empirical performance compared to several alternative baselines.Comment: Under Revie