Assessing the Impact of Poland\u27s 500+ Program on Childbirth Rates and Access to Pre-Primary Education

Abstract

500+ is a benefit of 500PLN awarded monthly to all Polish families with at least two children. The government implemented it in 2016 to provide an incentive to Polish families to have more kids. My research will utilize econometric analysis to assess the impact of Poland\u27s 500+ program on childbirth rates and women\u27s employment. The existing literature presents evidence of the program\u27s effect on reinforcing traditional family models. Namely, women choose to be stay-at-home moms, leaving men to be the sole income earners in the household. I want to assess if that impact is different locally. I will focus on the program\u27s effect in 16 Polish voivodships (the Polish equivalent of states). That will allow me to check whether the effect is different for more rural or urban areas. I expect to see a slightly positive impact on childbirth rates. However, I do not think it will be as significant as the government had initially predicted. I will also verify if the trend for women not to work continues, especially in the last couple of years when more online jobs are available. I also expect the program to have a more significant effect on more rural areas that are less affluent than cities

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