The stability of flows cascading down slopes as dense inclined plumes is examined, with particular reference to flows observed in Lake Geneva during winter periods of severe cooling. A previous conjecture by Turner that the flow may be in a state of marginal stability is confirmed: the observed mean velocity and density profiles are unstable to Kelvin-Helmholtz instability, but only marginally so; the growth rates of the most unstable small disturbances to the cascading flow in Lake Geneva are small, with e-folding periods of about 2 h. A reduction in the maximum velocity by about 20% is required to stabilize the flow. The possibility that stationary hydraulic jumps may occur in the observed flow is also considered. Several plausible flow states downstream of transitions are examined, allowing for mixing and density changes to occur, ranging from one that preserves the shape of the density and velocity profiles to one in which, as a consequence of mixing, the velocity and density become uniform in depth within the cascading flow. Neither of these extreme states is found to conserve the fluxes of volume, mass and momentum through a transition in which the energy flux does not increase, and to be unique or ‘stable' in the sense that no further transition is possible to a similar flow state without more entrainment. Stable transitions to intermediate downstream flows that conserve flow properties and reduce energy flux are, however, found, although the smallest value of the flow parameter, Fr≡ Umax2/gΔ h (where Umax is the maximum flow speed, g is the acceleration due to gravity, Δ is a fractional density difference within the flow and h is the flow thickness) at which transitions may occur is only slightly less than that of the cascading flow in Lake Geneva. In this sense, the observed flow is marginally unstable to a finite-amplitude transition or hydraulic jump. Velocity and density profiles of possible flows downstream of a transition are found. The amplitudes of possible transitions and the flux of water entrained from the ambient overlying water mass are limited to narrow range
