PriorCVAE: scalable MCMC parameter inference with Bayesian deep generative modelling

Abstract

In applied fields where the speed of inference and model flexibility are crucial, the use of Bayesian inference for models with a stochastic process as their prior, e.g. Gaussian processes (GPs) is ubiquitous. Recent literature has demonstrated that the computational bottleneck caused by GP priors or their finite realizations can be encoded using deep generative models such as variational autoencoders (VAEs), and the learned generators can then be used instead of the original priors during Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference in a drop-in manner. While this approach enables fast and highly efficient inference, it loses information about the stochastic process hyperparameters, and, as a consequence, makes inference over hyperparameters impossible and the learned priors indistinct. We propose to resolve the aforementioned issue and disentangle the learned priors by conditioning the VAE on stochastic process hyperparameters. This way, the hyperparameters are encoded alongside GP realisations and can be explicitly estimated at the inference stage. We believe that the new method, termed PriorCVAE, will be a useful tool among approximate inference approaches and has the potential to have a large impact on spatial and spatiotemporal inference in crucial real-life applications. Code showcasing the PriorCVAE technique can be accessed via the following link: https://github.com/elizavetasemenova/PriorCVA