Joustra, P.

Meester, G.

van Ophem, H.

English

The planning of operations in the Academic Medical Center is primarily based on the assessments of the length of the operation by the surgeons. We investigate whether duration models employing the information available at the moment the planning is made, offer a better alternative. We conclude that substantial cost reductions can be achieved by employing statistical techniques. This does not imply that the surgeons' predictions do not contain valuable information. This information is a key explanatory variable in our statistical models. What our conclusion does entail is that a correction of the predictions of surgeons is possible because they are often underestimating the actual length of operations

International Migration, Integration and Social Cohesion online publications

Can statisticians beat surgeons at the planning of operations?

https://pure.uva.nl/ws/files/1002595/97887_1006.pdf

Can statisticians beat surgeons at the planning of operations?

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International Migration, Integration and Social Cohesion online publications