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Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
Authors
Peter Adamík
Frank Adriaensen
+63 more
Markus P. Ahola
Peter Arcese
Jesús Miguel Avilés
Javier Balbontin
Steven R. Beissinger
Karl S. Berg
Antoni Borras
Sarah Burthe
Anne Charmantier
Jean Clobert
Alexandre Courtiol
Florentino de Lope
Nina Dehnhard
André A. Dhondt
Niels J. Dingemanse
F. Stephen Dobson
Hideyuki Doi
Tapio Eeva
Joerns Fickel
Iolanda Filella
Frode Fossøy
Anne E. Goodenough
Stephen J. G. Hall
Bengt Hansson
Michael Harris
Christopher Hassall
Dennis Hasselquist
Thomas Hickler
Fredric Janzen
Jasmin Joshi
Heather Kharouba
Stephanie Kramer-Schadt
Tamotsu Kusano
Juan Gabriel Martínez
Erik Matthysen
Juha Merilä
Jean-Baptiste Mihoub
James A. Mills
Arne Moksnes
Mercedes Molina-Morales
Arpat Ozgul
Anders Pape Møller
Deseada Parejo
Philippe Pilard
Maud Poisbleau
Viktoriia Radchuk
Thomas Reed
Francois Rousset
Mark-Oliver Rödel
David Scott
Juan Carlos Senar
Ben C. Sheldon
Constanti Stefanescu
Bård G. Stokke
Maja Tarka
Corey E. Tarwater
Céline Teplitsky
Kirsten Thonicke
Jack Thorley
Piotr Tryjanowski
Martijn van de Pol
Marcel E. Visser
Andreas Wilting
Publication date
1 January 2019
Publisher
[London] : Nature Publishing Group UK
Doi
Cite
Abstract
Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications, to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species. © 2019, The Author(s)
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Repositorium für Naturwissenschaften und Technik
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oai:oa.tib.eu:123456789/10355
Last time updated on 02/12/2022