Dampak Restriksi Perdagangan Terhadap Penawaran Dan Permintaan Beras Di Pasar Dunia Dan Kinerja Perberasan Indonesia

Abstract

The aims of research is to analyze the effect of trade restriction of rice exporter and importer in the open market to influence he world rice supply and demand. Indonesian is the net importer of rice so depend on quantity of market world rice. We use time series data from 1984 to 2007's and use simultaneous formulation with econometrical approach. The result show that's export restriction will increase the export volume and the world supply but the world price will turn exception for United of America Serikat. If there is no-export restriction there is no effect for Indonesian's rice. Import restriction will be increase an import price in all importer country. The effect of no-intervention import restriction will be decrease the domestic production, productivity and demand fertilizers. Suggestion for policy is the intervention in the import restriction is still neccesarry to increase Indonesian's rice performance