Modern Methods for Forecasting the Technical Condition of Aviation Equipment

Abstract

The article discusses methodological approaches to predicting changes in the technical state of aircraft structures based on the results of statistical processing of data received from repair and operating organizations. The results of forecasting changes in time of the parameters of the state of aviation equipment by the methods of linear and nonlinear forecasting during operation according to the technical state are presented. The possibility of the practical application of the proposed methods in determining the maintenance system and the required amount of additional work during the operation of aviation equipment is shown