'Faculty of Political Science, University of Zagreb'
Abstract
Preobražaj autoritarnih sustava Južne Evrope sedamdesetih godina pojačao je zanimanje za promjene sustava i transformacijsku teoriju, ali tek sa slomom realnog socijalizma postalo je transformacijsko istraživanje vrlo poletnom istraživačkom industrijom. Budući da nitko nije predvidio događaje iz 1989. godine, frustracija u socijalnim znanostima zbog nepredviđanja i pogrešnog predviđanja pretvorila se u traženje teorija koje bi ubuduće mogle poboljšati prognoziranje. Na pitanje jesu li se različiti transformacijski procesi mogli objasniti jedinstvenom teorijom autor zaključuje da ne postoji jedinstvena transformacijska teorija.The metamorphosis of the authoritarian systems of South Europe in the seventies increased interest in system changes and transformational theory but it was only with the break up of real socialism that transformational research became a very dynamic research industry. As no one had predicted what would happen in 1989 the frustration in the social sciences caused by this lack of foretelling and erroneous foretelling turned into a pursuit of theories which could improve prognostication in the future. The question whether different transformational processes could be explained by one unified theory is answered by the author\u27s conclusion that no unified transformational theory exists
