Quantitative plaque analysis in coronary artery disease

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease is the commonest cause of death worldwide and clinicians have struggled to limit the associated inexorable tide of morbidity and mortality over the past few decades. Most often patients only become aware that they have coronary artery disease when they are admitted to hospital with chest pain. Computed tomography coronary angiography has revolutionised our ability to detect even mild coronary artery disease, improving the prognosis of those with symptoms of stable angina. However, its effectiveness is somewhat limited by physician reliance on the singular factor of the severity of coronary artery stenosis. The ability to characterise and to quantify the extent of coronary artery disease can incrementally improve the prognostic capability of coronary computed tomography angiography in patients with stable angina. However, we have yet to determine whether quantifying plaque is of benefit in the more unstable populations of patients who present to the Emergency Department with acute chest pain. Such patients may or may not have suffered a myocardial infarction. Moreover, in those who have myocardial infarction, this may or may not be due to plaque rupture. Computed tomography and quantitative plaque analysis could provide a novel avenue to assist both in the diagnosis and risk stratification of this patient population. Given this background, there are several questions that we put forward. These include: 1) Can plaque be accurately and reproducibly quantified in patients with a high burden of coronary artery disease? 2) Is there value in quantifying plaque in patients who have had myocardial infarction excluded? 3) In those with myocardial infarction, can quantitative plaque analysis assist in the differentiation between type 1 and type 2 myocardial infarction? 4) Does quantification of plaque burden predict recurrent events and mortality in patients who present with acute chest pain to the Emergency Department? METHODS AND RESULTS: In study one, twenty patients with known multivessel disease underwent repeated computed tomography coronary angiography 2 weeks apart. Coronary artery segments were analysed using semi-automated software by two trained observers to determine intraobserver, interobserver and interscan reproducibility. Overall, 149 coronary arterial segments were analysed. There was excellent intraobserver, interobserver and interscan agreement for all plaque volume measurements. There were no substantial interscan differences for measures of plaque burden. Whilst low-attenuation plaque volume had relatively wider 95% limits of agreement, this reflected the lower absolute volumes of low-attenuation plaque in this cohort of patients with advanced coronary disease. In study two, quantitative plaque analysis was performed on CT coronary angiograms of 242 patients recruited in a single-centre cross-sectional observational study. Patients with acute chest pain who had had myocardial infarction excluded were dichotomised by plasma high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I concentration into low (<5 ng/L, n=81) and intermediate (≥5 ng/L, n=161) risk groups. There was a higher burden of plaque in the intermediate risk group compared to the low risk group. Moreover, low-attenuation plaque burden was associated with intermediate-risk plasma troponin concentrations after adjustment for clinically relevant characteristics suggesting plaque instability may contribute to the underlying cardiovascular risk of these patients. In study three, a post-hoc analysis of two prospective clinical studies of patients with acute chest pain was conducted. Patients were classified as type 1 myocardial infarction, type 2 myocardial infarction or chest pain without infarction. The diagnosis of type 2 myocardial infarction was adjudicated by an expert panel due to the inherent difficulties in making this diagnosis. Quantitative plaque analysis was conducted in 155 patients with type 1 myocardial infarction, 36 patients with type 2 myocardial infarction and 136 patients with chest pain without infarction. We showed that patients with type 1 myocardial infarction had a significantly greater burden of total, non-calcified and low-attenuation plaque compared to those with type 2 myocardial infarction. Low-attenuation plaque was an independent predictor of type 1 myocardial infarction and had better discrimination than non-calcified plaque and even severity of coronary artery stenosis. This suggests that quantitative plaque analysis holds potential to help differentiate between these diagnoses thereby assisting in guiding patient management. In study four, quantitative plaque analysis was conducted on 404 patients who presented to the Emergency Department with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Patients underwent early coronary CT angiography and were followed up for 12 months. We assessed the association between plaque burden and the primary endpoint of 1-year all cause death or non-fatal myocardial infarction and compared this to traditional markers of risk including the GRACE score and the presence of obstructive coronary disease. Following the index admission, 25 patients went on to have an event. Events were associated with larger burdens of all plaque subtypes. Total, non-calcified and low-attenuation plaque were the strongest predictors of future events, and these associations were independent of GRACE score and presence of obstructive coronary disease. Plaque burden therefore was a major predictor of 1-year death or recurrent myocardial infarction in patients who present to hospital with suspected acute coronary syndrome. CONCLUSION: We have demonstrated that quantitative plaque analysis is a reliable tool and gives precise results even in patients with a large burden of coronary atherosclerosis. This technique can be applied to all patients who attend the hospital and are suspected of having acute coronary syndrome. When troponin concentrations do not reach the threshold to diagnose myocardial infarction according to the Universal Definition, quantifying the low-attenuation plaque burden of those with an intermediate concentration of troponin is a powerful risk stratification tool that may assist in the decision to pursue more intensive preventative medical therapy. When myocardial infarction is diagnosed but clinicians are not sure if this is due to plaque rupture or a supply and demand mismatch, the burden of low-attenuation plaque can assist in decision making and help guide downstream medical investigation and management. Finally, in all the above situations, the burden of plaque and low-attenuation plaque in particular can identify those patients at highest risk of recurrent cardiovascular events, further risk stratifying patients in the short to medium term. Taken together, these four studies provide major impetus for future prospective clinical trials that could base treatment decisions on the burden of high-risk low-attenuation plaque

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