Strategic energy systems analysis:Possible pathways for the transition of electricity sector inTanzania

Abstract

This study examines the concept of the evolution of electricity sector in Tanzania.Electrification of Africa has raised large discussion and thus, nine scenarios based ondifferent production pathways and demand projections are formulated. The studyconsiders both grid based centralized electricity and decentralized power production.The main differentiation is between a centralized electricity system and decentralizedpower that are closer to demand. A model is created using three modeling tools(Answer-OSeMOSYS, LEAP and MESSAGE) and the results are presented andcompared. Finally, different funding options for electricity expansion projects inTanzania are explored in order to investigate the feasibility of the scenarios as well asa geopolitical analysis is carried out