Animal spirits: Keynes' theory of rational investment decision-making under conditions of fundamental uncertainty

Abstract

Keynesov pojam životnih nagona se u neoklasičnoj i novoklasičnoj ekonomskoj misli pogrešno poistovećuje sa iracionalnim odlučivanjem. Međutim, kada se prihvati Keynesova pretpostavka da je budućnost fundamentalno neizvesna i neergodična, životni nagoni postaju ključni činilac koji omogućava kontinuirano donošenje investicionih odluka. Sa druge strane, ukoliko životni nagoni ustuknu, investiciona delatnost pada, čime se otvara put nastanku ekonomske krize.Keynes's term, animal spirits, has been mistakenly confused with irrational decision-making. However, if we accept Keynes' assumption that future is fundamentally uncertain and nonergodic, animal spirits become key factor that makes continual process of investment decision-making possible. On the other hand, if animal spirits blunt, investment activity dwindles and makes emergence of deep economic crisis likely

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