Analogous to rapid ventricular pacing, frequent ventricular premature complexes (VPCs) may predispose over time to cardiomyopathy and subsequent heart failure (HF). We examined the association of frequent VPCs with HF incidence in a population-based cohort, free of HF and coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline. At study baseline (1987-89), at least one VPC on a 2-minute rhythm ECG strip was seen in 5.5% (739/13486) of the middle aged (45-64 years old at baseline), white and African-American, men and women of the ARIC cohort. Incident HF was defined as the first appearance of ICD code ‘428.x’ in hospital discharge record or death certificate through 2005. Over an average follow up of 15.6 years, incident HF was seen in 10% subjects (19.4% in those with VPCs vs. 9.4% in those without). The age, race, and gender adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of HF for VPCs was 1.89 (95% CI = 1.59, 2.24). After multivariable adjustment for potential confounders, HR (95% CI) of HF for those with any VPC vs. no VPCs was 1.63 (1.36, 1.96). After additional adjustment for incident CHD as a time-varying covariate, the HR (95% CI) was 1.71 (1.42, 2.08). Presence of higher frequency of VPCs or complex VPCs had similar rates of HF as compared to single VPC and all were higher than no VPC group. In conclusion, in this large population based cohort, presence of VPCs is associated with incident HF independent of incident CHD
